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[Linkpost] Bracketing cluelessness: A new theory of altruistic decision-making
Some colleagues and I have written a working philosophy paper called “Bracketing Cluelessness”, and I’ve written an accompanying informal explainer post…
Sep 24 • 
Jesse Clifton
2

June 2025

Just take the midpoint?
An intuitive response to imprecise probability, and its limitations
Jun 23 • 
Jesse Clifton
2
Why not all one-boxers acausally trade: Physical vs. logical acausal control
Note: Assumes a lot of background knowledge of decision theory.
Jun 21 • 
Jesse Clifton
4
2
I'm just a guy: An approach to anthropics
Each of the leading solutions to anthropics runs into wildly counterintuitive implications.
Jun 13 • 
Jesse Clifton
6
3

February 2025

Notes on Occam via Solomonoff vs. hierarchical Bayes
What's the right way of encoding a bias towards simplicity in a Bayesian framework?
Feb 10 • 
Jesse Clifton
3
1
Reasons-based choice and cluelessness
How should we weigh our reasons when it's hard to turn them into expected utilities?
Feb 7 • 
Jesse Clifton
6
2
© 2025 Jesse
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